General
  Current Outlook
2001 Reports
  Dec 28th 2001
  Dec 21st 2001
  Dec 14th 2001
  Dec 7th 2001
  Nov 30th 2001
  Nov 23rd 2001
  Nov 19th 2001
  Sept 10th 2001
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
Outlook for Selected Markets. DJIA - NASDAQ - S&P 500
The following forecasts are based upon a selection of primary tools and the application of a number of simple Gann rules regarding Time based analysis and forecasting. The 'Change of Trend' (COT) dates should not be taken to represent dates upon which a significant change of trend will occur. Suffice to say that according to rules applied, a change in trend should occur on the given date. How this date is arrived at will be published in the week following the COT date irregardless as to the success or failure of the forecast.
24th November 2001 - Dow Jones Industrial Average ( DJIA ) Outlook
Taking a number of larger time frames into account, there is a clustering around the 14th of December. There is also one major time frame which gives the 10th of December, which is also 90 degrees from the Sept 11th attack. Monday the 17th December is 90 degrees from the Sept 17th restart and December 19th is 90 degrees from the Sept 21st major low. As can be seen when looking at time, mid December has a considerable amount of action due.

24th November 2001 - Standard and Poors 500 ( S&P 500 ) Outlook
Taking a number of larger time frames into account, there is a clustering around the 17th of December and the 19th December. The 10th December COT date also holds ( as it does for all markets ) as 90 deg from Sept 11 attack.

24th November 2001 - NASDAQ Outlook
Taking a number of intermediate time frames into account, there is a clustering around the 8th December and 10th December. As noted previously, the 10th December is 90 Deg from the Sept 11th attack.


Summary for Week Ending 7th Dec 2001
DJIA See Chart
Market action following Monday's Low was impressive with the weekly range of 568 points topping out on Thursday (See Week Ending 9th Nov). The presumed COT for Friday did not give up the High for the week, but may be signaling for a turnaround on Monday. We just have to wait and see.

This weeks chart shows the Price Retracements form the 21st May High, how the market has blasted through all the major lines so far. Also highlighted on this weeks chart is is the parallel channel, which appears to be what managed to stop the DJIA this week. Of importance also, is that the same pattern appears for both the NASDAQ and the SP500, which technically is a rare event, as most markets generally move to the beat of their own drum . If we are looking to be consistent, then Thursday would be the day to expect a COT, however the Friday is forecast, with the 90 deg from Sept 11th also making its appearance this week. That gives us three out of 5 days, not much of a forecast I hear everyone say. Well.... I agree and there's nothing I can do about it. Personally, I'm most interested in the 90 deg from Sept 11th.

S&P 500 See Chart
As mentioned last week, we were awaiting the market to get to the 1171 range to see how it would perform against the raft of resistance lines that were indicated.(See Nov 23rd).
Averaging all the points of resistance we come very close to the Actual High of 1173 which occurred on Wednesday. Also, the market managed to hit a parallel trend line similar to the one that stopped on the Dow on Thursday. Technically, the run up on Wednesday gave the appearance it had to be somewhere in a great hurry, and that's exactly what it did. Runs of this nature is always best to look at volume and other supporting factors to see if swift movements like this one can be sustained in the short term. Following this weeks excitement, we can look forward this week to the 90 Deg from Sept 11th COT, with the longer forecasted COT dates not arriving till the following week.

NASDAQ See Chart
Similar to the previous two reports, we saw the NASDAQ hit the parallel channel and stop for a bit. The run up from Mondays weekly low was impressive, to reach the High for the week of 2066 on Thursday and finally cross over the psychological 2000 point barrier for the first time since the falls in August.

This weeks chart shows the original forecast Time frames highlighted, al of which are coming in between the 8th and 11th of December. The 90 deg from Sept 11th date is the one to watch this week.




© Copyright Gannalyst Pty Ltd 2000 - 2008. All Rights Reserved
Gannalyst Pty Ltd PO Box 387 Toowong 4066 Brisbane Queensland Australia.
Privacy | Disclaimer